Variable international oil prices, and an equally unpredictable Rand/US dollar exchange rate, have combined to provide a mixed picture for fuel prices in June, reports the Automobile Association (AA), quoting unaudited month-end data released by the Central Energy Fund.

“International oil prices have been up and down in May 2019. The basic petrol price has traded between 740 and 780 cents a litre, which averages out 19 cents lower for the month,” the AA says.

The Rand was also variable throughout, although it traded in a fairly restricted range between roughly R14.15 and R14.60 to the US dollar.

Fuel prices to increases

“The Rand was about 12 cents weaker over the month,” the Association says.

“This means that petrol prices will still drop by about ten cents a litre. However, the basic diesel price increased slightly, by two cents a litre, so diesel users are looking at an increase of about 14 cents a litre, with a nine cent hike for illuminating paraffin.”

However, the AA says the overall picture may look a little difference with the introduction of the Carbon Tax in June. This will add nine cents a litre to the petrol price, and ten cents to the diesel price.

“In effect this means that petrol will decrease by only one cent a litre, while diesel will increase more significantly by around 24 cents a litre,” notes the AA.

The AA says that any number of current issues could impact the fuel price in the second half of the year, and advises against relying on fuel price stability in the short to medium term.

The organisation said: “We suspect there may be more economic storms ahead.”